From: aaronshaw Date: Wed, 7 Oct 2020 15:56:44 +0000 (-0500) Subject: typos X-Git-Url: https://code.communitydata.science/stats_class_2020.git/commitdiff_plain/68d8f2ee515b9f2c2dd76914a2c3f5d8f712e69e?hp=9fe7d4d5dbb837c15d092d00d95621a7315abddd typos --- diff --git a/psets/pset2-worked_solution.html b/psets/pset2-worked_solution.html index 7d426b0..8b9ac29 100644 --- a/psets/pset2-worked_solution.html +++ b/psets/pset2-worked_solution.html @@ -1814,8 +1814,8 @@ p + geom_point()

SQ2.1 Which bet?

If you are willing to assume that birthdays in the class are independent (not a terrible assumption) and that birthdays are distributed randomly throughout the year (a terrible assumption, as it turns out!), you should take Bet #2. Here’s a way to explain why:

-

Consider that 25 people can be combined into pairs \({25 \choose 2}\) ways (which you can read “as 25 choose 2”), which is equal to \(\frac{25 \times 24}{2} = 300\) (and that little calculation is where those binomial coefficients I mentioned in my hint come in handy).

-

Generalizing the logic from part b of the textbook exercise last week problem, I have assumed that each of these possible pairings are independent and thus each one has a probability \(P = (\frac{364}{365})\) of producing an unmatched set of birthdays.

+

Consider that 25 people can be combined into pairs \({25 \choose 2}\) ways (which you can read as “25 choose 2”), which is equal to \(\frac{25 \times 24}{2} = 300\) (and that little calculation is where those binomial coefficients I mentioned in my hint come in handy).

+

Generalizing the logic from part b of the textbook exercise last week, I have assumed that each of these possible pairings are independent and thus each one has a probability \(P = (\frac{364}{365})\) of producing an unmatched set of birthdays.

Putting everything together, I can employ the multiplication rule from OpenIntro Ch. 3 and get the following: \[P(any~match) = 1 - P(no~matches)\]
\[P(no~matches) = (\frac{364}{365})^{300}\]
And I can let R do the arithmetic:

diff --git a/psets/pset2-worked_solution.rmd b/psets/pset2-worked_solution.rmd index be15c57..501021a 100644 --- a/psets/pset2-worked_solution.rmd +++ b/psets/pset2-worked_solution.rmd @@ -245,9 +245,9 @@ The plot reveals a very strong positive relationship between average daily dista If you are willing to assume that birthdays in the class are independent (not a terrible assumption) and that birthdays are distributed randomly throughout the year (a terrible assumption, as it turns out!), you should take Bet #2. Here's a way to explain why: -Consider that 25 people can be combined into pairs ${25 \choose 2}$ ways (which you can read "as 25 choose 2"), which is equal to $\frac{25 \times 24}{2} = 300$ (and that little calculation is where those [binomial coefficients](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Binomial_coefficient) I mentioned in my hint come in handy). +Consider that 25 people can be combined into pairs ${25 \choose 2}$ ways (which you can read as "25 choose 2"), which is equal to $\frac{25 \times 24}{2} = 300$ (and that little calculation is where those [binomial coefficients](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Binomial_coefficient) I mentioned in my hint come in handy). -Generalizing the logic from part b of the textbook exercise last week problem, I have assumed that each of these possible pairings are independent and thus each one has a probability $P = (\frac{364}{365})$ of producing an *unmatched* set of birthdays. +Generalizing the logic from part b of the textbook exercise last week, I have assumed that each of these possible pairings are independent and thus each one has a probability $P = (\frac{364}{365})$ of producing an *unmatched* set of birthdays. Putting everything together, I can employ the multiplication rule from *OpenIntro* Ch. 3 and get the following: $$P(any~match) = 1 - P(no~matches)$$